Illinois Republican Primary Polls: Bailey Heading for A Comfortable Win

June 28th: Illinois Republican Primary Polls: Trump-endorsed Darren Bailey has an advantage in tonight’s GOP Primary Race.

On June 28th, Illinois will be voting to elect the Republican face for the November 8th Governor election. The current Governor of Illinois J. B. Pritzker (Democratic) faces almost no competition in the Dems’ Primary Race but the Republican side of the Primary Race has turned out to be a competitive one.


Ogden & Fry (R)June 24, 202238%13%17%
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)June 20–22, 202237%14%17%
Remington Research Group (R)June 14–15, 202227%13%27%

Illinois Republican Primary Polls: Reason Behind Irvin Trailing Bailey

Richard Irvin has been one of the strongest Republican candidates who could prove to be a threat to the incumbent Governor J B Pritzker. However, as per the latest poll numbers, Bailey might register a surprise win in the upcoming GOP Primary election. The reasons behind Irvin trailing Bailey are:

  1. The poll number for Richard Irvin started to tumble after the latest ABC7 Debate. In the debate, Irvin seemed to be in the back seat as he was attacked by his GOP rivals.
  2. One of the main reasons for the sudden fall of Irvin could be the meddling by the incumbent Governor JB Pritzker in the GOP Primary race. As per the news article by Fox32, sources close to Irvin said that there is unprecedented meddling by the current Governor JB Pritzker. As per the news, Gov. JB Pritzker and his allies are spending $32 million trying to defeat Irvin.

Illinois Republican Primary Polls: Google Search Trend

The overall trends are in favor of Richard Irvin but if we consider the last 3 days, Darren Bailey has narrowed the gap and has been ahead of Richard Irvin at some instances in the last 3 days.

DateRichard IrvinDarren Bailey
Last 7 Days38%62%

Illinois Republican Primary Polls: Net Sentiment

DateRichard IrvinDarren Bailey
Last 7 Days-22.2%-9.2%

Illinois Republican Primary Polls: Verdict

Richard Irvin is struggling and this is not just reflected in the poll numbers but also in Google search trends and the net sentiment. Darren Bailey has been recently endorsed by Donald Trump. His poll numbers have been best among his GOP rivals and now with Trump’s endorsement, he has an added advantage.

The Google search volume for Darren Bailey is higher and the social media sentiment for Bailey is better than his rival Republicans. Considering the different factors, Bailey is heading for an easy win in the upcoming Illinois Republican election.

Read: 2022 Wyoming House Race Polls

Illinois Republican Primary Polls

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