Biden vs Trump Polls 2024
In the forthcoming 2024 U.S. presidential election, current polls predict an intense race between potential candidates Joe Biden and Donald Trump. Despite a sub-50% approval rating for Biden and lingering dissatisfaction with his performance as president, the contest remains competitive, with prediction markets and betting platforms favoring Biden. However, Trump’s lead in the Republican primary polls reinforces his popularity within the party, making him a considerable opponent despite potential competition from Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.
Here are the latest polls along with their track record in the 2020 Election.
Biden vs Trump Polls 2024
Average of Polls: July 26th, 2023
- Joe Biden: 44.2% (+1% in a week)
- Donald Trump: 43.8% (+1% in a week)
The Messenger/ HarrisX Poll: July 24th [8th Most Accurate in 2020]
- Joe Biden: 42% (-2% in a Fortnight)
- Donald Trump: 46%
Morning Consult Poll: July 23rd [Not Tracked in 2020]
- Joe Biden: 43% [No Change in a Fortnight]
- Donald Trump: 41%
Harvard/Harris Poll: July 20th[9th Most Accurate in 2020]
- Joe Biden: 40% [No Change in a Month]
- Donald Trump: 45%
Quinnipiac Poll: July 17th [Least Accurate in 2020]
- Joe Biden: 49% [No Change in a Month]
- Donald Trump: 44%
Yahoo/YouGov Poll: July 17th [13th Most Accurate in 2020]
- Joe Biden: 47% (No Change in a Month)
- Donald Trump: 43%
Biden vs Trump Polls, Accuracy Rate of Pollsters in 2020
Here are the results of the Presidential Election 2020 Polls. The Pollsters are organized by ‘total error’
| Poll | Date | Biden (D) | Trump (R) | Total Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election Result | 11/3 | 51.4 | 46.9 | |
| IBD/TIPP | 10/29 – 11/2 | 50 | 46 | 2.3 |
| Reuters/Ipsos | 10/29 – 11/2 | 52 | 45 | 2.5 |
| JTN/RMG Research | 10/29 – 10/31 | 51 | 44 | 3.3 |
| Emerson | 10/25 – 10/26 | 50 | 45 | 3.3 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 10/28 – 11/1 | 48 | 47 | 3.5 |
| SurveyUSA | 10/29 – 10/31 | 52 | 44 | 3.5 |
| FOX News | 10/27 – 10/29 | 52 | 44 | 3.5 |
| The Hill/HarrisX | 10/25 – 10/28 | 49 | 45 | 4.3 |
| Harvard-Harris | 10/27 – 10/28 | 54 | 46 | 3.5 |
| USA Today/Suffolk | 10/23 – 10/27 | 52 | 44 | 3.5 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D) | 10/29 – 11/1 | 52 | 42 | 5.5 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl | 10/29 – 10/31 | 52 | 42 | 5.5 |
| Economist/YouGov | 10/31 – 11/2 | 53 | 43 | 5.5 |
| USC Dornsife | 10/20 – 11/2 | 54 | 43 | 6.5 |
| NPR/PBS/Marist | 10/8 – 10/13 | 54 | 43 | 6.5 |
| NY Times/Siena | 10/15 – 10/18 | 50 | 41 | 7.3 |
| CNN | 10/23 – 10/26 | 54 | 42 | 7.5 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 10/6 – 10/9 | 55 | 43 | 7.5 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/28 – 11/1 | 50 | 39 | 9.3 |
The ‘Total Error’ column is the sum of ‘Biden Error’ and ‘Trump Error’. The table is sorted in ascending order of ‘Total Error’.
Presidential Election 2020 Polls: The IBD/TIPP Poll Details
| Demographic Group | Republicans | Trump |
|---|---|---|
| Senior Citizens | 51% | 46% |
| Age 18-44 | 54% | 42% |
| Age 45-64 | 46% | 51% |
| Men | 42% | 54% |
| Women | 58% | 39% |
| Suburban | 57% | 38% |
| Independents | 47% | 44% |
| Democrats | 94% | 5.5% |
| Republicans | 6% | 92% |
| 2016 Trump Voters | 7.5% | 90% |
| 2016 Clinton Voters | 95% | 4% |
2024 Presidential Election Predictions: Who will be the Next President?