**Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party currently holds a significant lead over Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party. Furthermore, Poilievre is regarded as the more competent Prime Ministerial candidate, underscoring the broadening discontent with Trudeau’s leadership.**
**Pierre Poilievre Summary**
The elevation of Pierre Poilievre has turned out to be advantageous for the Conservative Party. The Conservative Party has been trying to displace the Trudeau government and form their government. However, in order to do so the Conservative Party has been struggling to find a face who could lead them to victory.
In September 2022, Pierre Poilievre officially became the leader of the Conservative Party of Canada. He has been a Member of the Parliament for the Ottawa riding of Carleton (formerly Nepean-Carleton) since 2004. He was the youngest MP in Parliament at the age of 25.
The next Canadian election is scheduled for 2025.
Read about Trudeau’s Approval rating
Leadership Approval Rating (Trudeau vs Poilivre)
- The Top 2 issues impacting Canadians today are the Economy and Inflation
- The Canadian economy has been struggling since 2011. Between 2011 and 2023, the per capita GDP grew by just $15000 while the American per capita GDP grew by $43000. In the nearly 9 years that Trudeau has been Prime Minister, the Canadian per capita has grown by just $13700. The Americans grew two times faster.
- One of the main reasons Canada has been struggling is the runaway inflation which began to rise soon after the 2021 election to a peak of 8.1% in the middle of 2022. Inflation crashed to 2.8% in June 2024 but the damage is done.
- The 3rd Major issue is Housing
- According to the World Bank, Between 2007 and 2015 [8 years], Canada’s Population grew by 2.8 Million, a growth of 8.5%. Between 2015 and 2023 [8 years], Canada’s population grew by 4.4 Million, a growth of 12.3%. Now, the surge in population in the 9 years should have resulted in significant growth in housing. However, Housing stock grew by just 1.8 million owing to lower GDP growth and higher interest rates. Not just that, the rising cost of building a home also pushed housing inflation by 14% in just 24 months. This in turn led to higher rentals and a significant fall in housing affordability.
How Will Pierre Poilievre Address These Issues?
Economy
According to a recent Nanos Research Group survey for Bloomberg, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre leads Prime Minister Justin Trudeau by over 10 points as the preferred economic manager, with 30% of respondents favoring Poilievre compared to 19% for Trudeau.
To address Canada’s economic challenges, Poilievre plans to streamline federal bureaucracy and ensure that proceeds from resource extraction benefit First Nations communities directly. His strategy includes reducing taxes, deregulating industries to encourage investment, supporting entrepreneurship, and implementing fiscal reforms to tackle inflation and high living costs.
Inflation
Pierre Poilievre, leader of Canada’s Conservative Party, has described inflation as “the most immoral tax of all,” underscoring its severe impact on the cost of living for Canadians. To combat inflation and address broader economic issues, Poilievre has proposed several key measures. He plans to cut federal bureaucracy to enhance government efficiency and ensure that proceeds from resource extraction on Indigenous lands are directly invested in First Nations communities.
Additionally, Poilievre aims to lower taxes to alleviate financial pressure on individuals and businesses, reduce regulatory burdens to stimulate investment and implement responsible fiscal management to stabilize the economy and curb inflation. He also emphasizes supporting entrepreneurship to drive innovation and job creation. These initiatives reflect his comprehensive approach to fostering economic growth and tackling inflation.
Housing
Pierre Poilievre’s housing plan aims to address Canada’s shortage of affordable homes with targeted reforms and incentives. His proposal requires cities to increase new home construction by 15% annually, offering a “building bonus” for meeting the target and imposing a 5% reduction in federal funding for those that fall short.
To further encourage development, Poilievre proposes fines for municipalities obstructing construction due to significant local opposition. He also plans to expedite project financing approvals through the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), with bonuses withheld from staff who delay. Additionally, GST will be eliminated on affordable apartment housing, and 15% of federally owned buildings will be sold to create space for new housing projects.
Pierre Poilievre’s Latest Approval Rating
**Pierre Poilievre’s net approval rating stands at -4%. With an approval rating of 42% and a disapproval rating of 46%, he maintains a positive net approval, indicating a slight overall favorability among voters.**
Poilievre’s Approval Rating Drops
Recent polling data reveals a rise in negative perceptions of Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre over the past month. While his positive impressions remain steady at 39%, his negatives have increased by 5 points, now standing at 40%, marking his first negative net favorability score (-1) since October. This increase is widespread across multiple demographics and regions, including a 7-point rise in British Columbia and 6-point increases in Quebec, Ontario, and Atlantic Canada. Both men and women are showing a rise in negative views. Notably, negative opinions are up 6 points among past Liberal voters, 7 points among NDP supporters, and a sharp 16-point jump among former Bloc Québécois voters.
Preferred Prime Minister Of Canada Poll
Recent polling data on the preferred prime minister shows Pierre Poilievre significantly ahead of Justin Trudeau. According to the latest Abacus poll conducted on October 10th, Poilievre is favored by 39% of respondents, compared to Trudeau’s 23%. A Nanos Research poll from October 4th shows Poilievre with 35% support, while Trudeau trails at 20%. Additionally, a Leger poll from September 29th reveals Poilievre leading with 36%, while Trudeau remains at 21%. These numbers highlight Poilievre’s growing appeal as the preferred candidate for prime minister, significantly outpacing Trudeau.
Is Poilievre the Change Canadians Want?
With support fading, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau appears to be framing the next federal election as a choice between his leadership and that of Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre. By highlighting issues like Poilievre’s refusal to obtain security clearance, Trudeau seeks to cast doubt on the Conservative leader’s fitness to govern. Despite Trudeau’s efforts, his position remains fragile; his party trails the Conservatives by 20 points, and internal unrest is growing, with multiple MPs urging him to step down. While Trudeau hopes to sway a small percentage of voters to close the gap and potentially secure a minority government with NDP support, Canadians are more concerned about pressing issues like inflation and rising mortgage rates. Furthermore, recent polling indicates Poilievre’s popularity outpaces both Trudeau and NDP leader Jagmeet Singh. Even if Trudeau survives internal party challenges, his ability to turn the election into a referendum on Poilievre is uncertain, as many Canadians appear ready for change.
Leaders Net Approvals
Recent Abacus Data polling reveals varying net approval ratings for key political figures. Pierre Poilievre has a net approval rating of -4. In contrast, Justin Trudeau has a significantly lower net approval rating of -35. These figures indicate that, despite Poilievre’s negative rating, he is viewed more favorably compared to Trudeau, highlighting ongoing challenges for the current Prime Minister.
Pierre Poilievre vs Justin Trudeau: Google Search Share
7 Days
- Justin Trudeau: 71.8%
- Pierre Poilievre: 28%
**Recent Google Trends data reveals that Justin Trudeau is attracting markedly greater online interest than Pierre Poilievre. This increased visibility for Trudeau highlights a slight margin in public engagement, while Poilievre’s lower online interest may suggest a need for enhanced outreach to boost his public profile.**
Pierre Poilievre vs Justin Trudeau: Social Media Sentiment
- Trudeau: -64.9%
- Poilievre: -54.0%
Pierre Poilievre Polls: Can Poilievre manage to beat Trudeau?
- Poilievre’s Conservatives currently lead the Liberals by 13-17%, but it’s uncertain if he can maintain this momentum and attract moderate voters.
- The CPC’s success largely stems from the Liberal Party’s weakness rather than Poilievre’s personal strengths.
- To resonate with middle-class Canadians, Poilievre must propose credible solutions to critical issues:
- Rising costs of living
- Healthcare crisis
- Continued dependence on natural resources in the era of climate change.
If Poilievre can demonstrate his ability to address these challenges and present a clear vision for the country, he may garner enough support to defeat Trudeau. However, it remains uncertain whether he can effectively tackle these issues and leverage his enhanced public image to form a strong majority government.
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