Lok Sabha Seat level contests, many are still competitive
Here is the update for the 41 seats that are being tracked for the last 7 months with comparison over September 2018
Criteria – 65%+ BJP will win, 60%, BJP ahead, 55-59%, Unclear, < 55%, BJP will lose
If you disagree with the current read of the seat, use the click here link to predict for that particular seat. This will improve the overall prediction
Kannauj – MGB will win – It was unclear 6 months ago Click here
Ghazipur – Unclear – BJP was ahead 6 months ago Click here
Kaushambi – MGB will win – MGB was ahead 6 months ago- Click here
Sitapur – MGB will win – MGB was ahead 6 months ago- Click here
Saharanpur – Unclear – Congress was ahead 6 months ago Click here
Ladakh – BJP Ahead – No Change over Sepetmber- Click here
Mahasamund – BJP Ahead – No Change over September – Click here
Korba – Unclear – Congress was marginally ahead in September – Click here
Sambhal – MGB will win – MGB edge 6 months ago – Click here
Lohardaga – Unclear – BJP was ahead in september – Click here
Satna – BJP Ahead – No Change over September- Click here
Hoshiarpur – Congress will win – Congress was ahead 6 months ago- Click here
Davangere – BJP will win – BJP was ahead 6 months ago – Click here
Mangaldoi – BJP will win – BJP was ahead in september – Click here
Raiganj – TMC will win – TMC was ahead in september – Click here
Raigad – NDA will win – Click here
Hingoli – Congress will win – Was unclear 6 months ago- Click here
Nabarangpur – BJP ahead – BJP was ahead in september too – Click here
Raichur – BJP Ahead – BJP was ahead in september as well- Click here
Chikkodi – Unclear – Congress had an edge in September – Click here
Madhubani – BJP Ahead – BJP was ahead in September – Click here
Sundargarh – BJP will win- BJP was ahead 6 months ago – Click here
Rampur – Unclear – BJP edge in september – Click here
Mysore – UPA will win Click here
Bargarh – Unclear – BJP edge 6 months ago – Click here
Mahbubnagar – TRS will win- Unclear 6 months ago- Click here
Vadakara – Unclear – Congress ahead 6 months ago- Click here
Anand -BJP will win – BJP was ahead 6 months ago – Click here
Asansol – BJP will win – BJP was ahead 6 months ago- Click here
Koppal – Unclear – BJP was ahead 6 months ago- Click here
Gwalior – Congress will win- BJP edge 6 months ago- Click here
Basti – Unclear – BJP was ahead 6 months ago – Click here
Kanker – Unclear – BJP was ahead 6 months ago – Click here
Pataliputra – BJP will win – BJP was ahead in September Click here
Giridih – BJP will win – BJP was ahead in September – Click here
Mandi – BJP will win – BJP was ahead 6 months ago – Click here
Udhampur – BJP will win – BJP was ahead 6 months ago- Click here
Dholpur – BJP Ahead – BJP was ahead 6 months ago- Click here
Kakinada – YSRCP will win – YSRCP was ahead 6 months ago- Click here
Alipurduar – TMC will win – Click here
Summary
BJP – 17 (26, 6 months ago)
Congress -4 (5)
MGB -3 (3)
Others – 4(2)
Unclear – 11 (3)
There was more certainty in the election 6 months ago than it is today. Should bulk of the ‘unclear’ seats swing the BJP way, the election could up similar to 2019. If it went the other way, a new PM is most likely. The game is still on as far Election 2019 is concerned
