Lok Sabha Seat level contests, many are still competitive

Here is the update for the 41 seats that are being tracked for the last 7 months with comparison over September 2018

Criteria – 65%+ BJP will win, 60%, BJP ahead, 55-59%, Unclear, < 55%, BJP will lose

If you disagree with the current read of the seat, use the click here link to predict for that particular seat. This will improve the overall prediction

Kannauj – MGB will win – It was unclear 6 months ago  Click here

Ghazipur – Unclear – BJP was ahead 6 months ago Click here

Kaushambi – MGB will win – MGB was ahead 6 months ago-  Click here

Sitapur – MGB will win – MGB was ahead 6 months ago- Click here

Saharanpur – Unclear – Congress was ahead 6 months ago  Click here

Ladakh – BJP Ahead – No Change over Sepetmber- Click here

Mahasamund – BJP Ahead – No Change over September – Click here

Korba – Unclear – Congress was marginally ahead in September – Click here

Sambhal – MGB  will win – MGB edge 6 months ago – Click here

Lohardaga – Unclear – BJP was ahead in september – Click here

Satna – BJP Ahead – No Change over September- Click here

Hoshiarpur – Congress will win – Congress was ahead 6 months ago- Click here

Davangere – BJP will win – BJP was ahead 6 months ago – Click here

Mangaldoi – BJP will win – BJP was ahead in september – Click here

Raiganj – TMC will win – TMC was ahead in september – Click here

Raigad – NDA will win – Click here

Hingoli – Congress will win – Was unclear 6 months ago- Click here

Nabarangpur – BJP ahead – BJP was ahead in september too – Click here

Raichur – BJP Ahead – BJP was ahead in september as well- Click here

Chikkodi – Unclear – Congress had an edge in September – Click here

Madhubani – BJP Ahead – BJP was ahead in September – Click here

Sundargarh – BJP will win- BJP was ahead 6 months ago – Click here

Rampur – Unclear – BJP edge in september – Click here

Mysore – UPA will win Click here

Bargarh – Unclear – BJP edge 6 months ago – Click here

Mahbubnagar – TRS will win- Unclear 6 months ago- Click here

Vadakara – Unclear – Congress ahead 6 months ago- Click here

Anand -BJP will win – BJP was ahead 6 months ago – Click here

Asansol – BJP will win – BJP was ahead 6 months ago- Click here

Koppal – Unclear – BJP was ahead 6 months ago- Click here

Gwalior – Congress will win- BJP edge 6 months ago- Click here

Basti – Unclear – BJP was ahead 6 months ago – Click here

Kanker – Unclear – BJP was ahead 6 months ago – Click here

Pataliputra – BJP will win – BJP was ahead in September Click here

Giridih – BJP will win – BJP was ahead in September – Click here

Mandi – BJP will win – BJP was ahead 6 months ago – Click here

Udhampur – BJP will win – BJP was ahead 6 months ago- Click here

Dholpur – BJP Ahead – BJP was ahead 6 months ago- Click here

Kakinada – YSRCP will win – YSRCP was ahead 6 months ago- Click here

Alipurduar – TMC will win – Click here

Summary

BJP – 17 (26, 6 months ago)

Congress -4 (5)

MGB -3 (3)

Others – 4(2)

Unclear – 11 (3)

There was more certainty in the election 6 months ago than it is today. Should bulk of the ‘unclear’ seats swing the BJP way, the election could up similar to 2019. If it went the other way, a new PM is most likely. The game is still on as far Election 2019 is concerned

Subhash

Subhash, Founder of Crowdwisdom360 is an MBA and a Trained Financial Advisor with an extensive background in Forecasting in Financial Services and Politics. He has appeared many times on National TV and has written for a variety of magazines on Wealth Management and Election Strategy.

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