Pierre Poilievre Approval Rating

The elevation of Pierre Poilievre has turned out to be advantageous for the Conservative Party. The Conservative Party has been trying to displace the Trudeau government and form their government. However, in order to do so the Conservative Party has been struggling to find a face who could lead them to victory.

In September 2022, Pierre Poilievre officially became the leader of the Conservative Party of Canada. He has been a Member of the Parliament for the Ottawa riding of Carleton (formerly Nepean-Carleton) since 2004. He was the youngest MP in Parliament at the age of 25.

The next Canadian election is scheduled for 2025.

Read about Trudeau’s Approval rating

Favourability of Pierre Poilievre: Angus Reid

Favourability for the Month of April 2024

  • Favorable: 38%
  • Unfavorable: 52%

Insights

As per the Abacus Data, unlike Pierre Poilievre, Trudeau enjoys an advantage in terms of personal appeal among women, whereas Poilievre holds the opposite—a significant advantage among men. When comparing views among respondents of similar ages, Poilievre receives considerably more favorable opinions from men than from women. Currently, Poilievre’s support is particularly robust in Alberta and Saskatchewan, while he garners the least favor in Quebec.

  • According to the latest Nanos Research ballot tracking, Conservatives are leading with an uptick in support over the past four weeks at 40.6 percent versus Justin Trudeau’s Liberals, whose support dipped to 23.8 percent. NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh and his party saw a slight rise in support at 21.9 percent.
  • The Conservatives under Pierre Poilievre have seen a massive surge in acceptance in the last couple of months. As per the latest data, the Conservatives are now 17 points ahead of the Liberals. The voting intention toward the Conservatives has witnessed a massive gain. Currently, the Conservatives are positioned to win nearly 191 seats, while the Liberals’ tally could fall below 100 seats.
  • The public perception of Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has improved. His approval rating is now 38%.
  • Poilievre’s current stronghold lies in Alberta and Saskatchewan, while his popularity is at its lowest in Quebec.
  • Poilievre is viewed much more favorably by men than women. In comparison, Trudeau holds an advantage among women in terms of his personal appeal. The January survey reveals that 44% of men and 37% of women would vote for the Conservatives.
  • Another important revelation about the favorability of Poilievre is that his favorability decreases the more educated one is. In other words, while 50% of Canadians with university degrees favor Trudeau, only 23% of such Canadians favor Poilievre.
  • The survey also links wealth with favorability, wherein it has been found that Poilievre’s favorability increases among the wealthy and the rich. He enjoys 43% favorability among those who make over a hundred thousand US dollars per year and 28% among those who make less than fifty thousand US dollars per year.

Pierre Poilievre Polls: Can Poilievre manage to beat Trudeau?

In the recent Abacus Data polls, Poilievre and the Conservatives are leading over Trudeau and the Liberals by 13% to 17%. The LPC is behind CPC on all the big economic questions and very closely ahead on the healthcare front. There is “no natural Conservative majority in Canada” so what CPC needs to do is to attract a group of voters who wouldn’t usually come together. The Conservatives are picking on federal government spending. According to Poilievre workers are being punished for working and he is going to wage a war on work with its taxes. Poilievre says he wants Canadians to take home more money. He is pushing to cap federal government spending. To relate well with Canadians Poilievre needs to stick to bread-and-butter issues where he can mobilize conservatives from all sections and try to win some votes in the middle.

The latest poll suggests that his public image is still more negative than positive. It is to be noted that the spike in polling for his party is more attributable to the weakness of the Liberal party than any brilliance by the Opposition. Canadians might think that by punishing Trudeau, they may elect a strong, stable Poilievre majority but that wouldn’t be a good place for the Conservatives to be at this stage of the electoral cycle.

To attract middle-class Canadian voters, Mr. Poilievre will have to offer credible strategic solutions to the country’s rising cost of living, the healthcare crisis, and continued reliance on natural resources in the climate change era.

Mr. Poilievre loves to say Canada “feels broken,” which does resonate with young non-conservative Canadians. However, to win their vote the CPC leader will have to show that he is capable of mending the system.

Justin Trudeau vs Pierre Poilievre Polls

Preferred Prime Minister of Canada Poll

Average of 2 Polls, May 9th, 2024

Nanos Research, May 3rd

  • Justin Trudeau: 19.8%
  • Pierre Poilievre: 36.5%

Abacus Data, April 29th

  • Justin Trudeau: 21%
  • Pierre Poilievre: 41%

Pierre Poilievre vs Justin Trudeau: Google Search Share

Last 7 days

Trudeau: 67.1%, Poilievre: 32.8%

Last 30 days

Trudeau: 68.6%, Poilievre: 31.3%

Pierre Poilievre vs Justin Trudeau: Social Media Sentiment

  • Trudeau: -64.9%
  • Poilievre: -54.0%

Pierre Poilievre Approval Rating: Latest News

  • Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party leads Justin Trudeau’s Liberals by 21 points, with 44% of Canadians favoring Conservatives and 23% favoring Liberals. Poilievre is preferred as Prime Minister by 32% of Canadians, while dissatisfaction with Trudeau’s government is at 69%, with 46% expressing strong dissatisfaction. Nearly one in five Canadians are likely to switch parties before the next election, citing reasons such as policy alignment and dissatisfaction with leadership. The survey, conducted from April 26 to 28, 2024, involved 1,610 Canadians aged 18 or older.
  • A recent poll indicates Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives hold their highest-ever lead over Justin Trudeau’s Liberals, with 37% of respondents favoring the Tories compared to 19% for the Liberals. Despite a focus on housing and youth in pre-budget announcements, Trudeau’s party struggles to gain ground. Poilievre’s lead, at 18 percentage points, is the largest since he became Conservative leader. The Liberals aim to win back disaffected young voters who have turned to the Tories.
  • The federal Conservative Party’s growing influence in British Columbia is reshaping provincial politics. Fifty-six percent of likely federal Conservative voters in BC now support the provincial Conservatives, signaling a significant change. BC Conservative leader John Rustad’s pledge to eliminate the carbon tax mirrors federal leader Pierre Poilievre’s stance. However, BC United struggles to appeal to both federal Liberals and Conservatives. Despite spending concerns, Premier David Eby maintains strong backing from federal NDP and Liberal supporters. Yet, the Conservatives lag in fundraising, potentially impacting their chances in the upcoming election.
  • Conservative MP Pierre Poilievre’s unsuccessful attempt to pass a bill banning COVID-19 vaccine mandates in Parliament, resulting in a vote of 114-205, sparked controversy. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau criticized Poilievre’s stance, accusing him of spreading conspiracy theories. This issue highlights divisions over vaccine mandates, with conservatives advocating for individual choice while liberal voters may favor Trudeau’s emphasis on public health measures. The outcome of this issue could shape voters’ perceptions of each party’s stance on public health policies, potentially influencing their electoral choices.
  • NDP’s Jagmeet Singh and Conservative’s Pierre Poilievre campaigned in British Columbia (B.C.), targeting working class voters with talks on affordability and housing. Singh hinted at changes to labor laws and Employment Insurance (EI), advocating for federal support similar to BC’s housing fund. Poilievre focused on cutting taxes and easing regulations to boost paychecks, emphasizing private sector solutions. Their strategies highlight the ideological divide between government intervention and market-driven approaches.
  • Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre strongly criticized the Liberal government’s $820 million safe drug supply policy, calling it a destructive “nightmare” that is creating damage to communities with little impact on helping drug users overcome addiction.
  • Pierre Poilievre launches the ‘Axe the Tax’ campaign, calling on Canadians to protest at Liberal and NDP MPs’ offices and flood them with calls and emails. The campaign aims to scrap the scheduled carbon tax hike on April 1.

Vote Share

  • CPC: 43.2%
  • LPC: 24.6%
  • NDP: 16%
  • BQ: 7%
  • GPC: 5%

Seat Projection

  • CPC: 213 seats
  • LPC: 64 seats
  • NDP: 25 seats
  • BQ: 38 seats
  • GPC: 2 Seat

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